A 3-day war would be extremely unlikely.

The UK has a programme to increase our defences as part of an overall NATO commitment to do so - something that reflects Trump's positions regarding Europe and Putin, alongside Putin's declaration that he is ready for war with Europe. Our people stocking up significantly will form a part of that programme, but, even today, our defence scretary has emphasised that the 3-day instruction was more to do with outages expected as a result of the rapidly changing weather patterns - increased flooding, droughts, wildfires, that have already seen areas of the UK affected.

This year's El Nino is producing noticeably higher ocean surface temperatures, stoked by overall human-driven global warming and the resultant change in climate. Predictions are that 2027 will see even greater and stronger incidents of flooding, droughts and wildfires, so the 3-day stocking is linked more to this, although the longer-term need for households to increase supplies of essential goods has to be a part of the overall defence programme. 

It reminds me of the desire to create nuclear bomb shelters during the early 60s when Kruschev governed the USSR, and we saw the Bay of Pigs and Cuban missile crisis create tensions and the prospect of WW3. Looks like we have a similar situation now with Putin and Ukraine, but with currently a less intentioned US government to be involved   

Scary how many Americans have always been so naive and therefore anti-American as to not see what Trump has always been; even decades before he ran for President.  How many times must he (and his wacko supporters) demonstrate contempt for America.   Hegseth just fired another top general - head of military planning.  After having fired the previous one last year.  Massively fired many other top generals and admirals. Because, among other facts, they do not believe in "Pearl Harboring" other nations.   Then obstructed the promotion most black and women to general and admiral rank.  Because he has a long history of being both sexist and racist.  Like Trump.

Stalin did similar military purges.  As a result, the Russian army was mauled when they tried to "Pearl Harbor" Finland.  And again when Hitler took full advantage.  He also killed many military intelligence officers who accurately warned what was obvious.

Today, Trump supporters announced that Democrats are communist supporters of Putin.  VP Vance, House Speaker Johnson, and Trump have constantly made those accusations.  Since it works on the many who make decisions from emotions.  Who ignore facts.

How many were so brainwashed by obvious lies about Saddam's WMDs?  How many intentionally ignore facts?  An anti-American even praised Putin in Helsinki.  How many ignored that reality.  Make decisions only from their emotions.  Making war inevitable.

Facts said Saddam did not have WMDs.  Facts also say Putin and Xi are routinely manipulating Trump.  They know how to play to his ego.

Cyclefrance-of-old wrote:

A 3-day war would be extremely unlikely.

Having 3 days worth of necessities isn’t tied to the duration of a calamity whether it’s an attack or natural disaster. If one can survive the first 3 days on their own, other resources will often begin to become available in modern times. That also makes it the starting point on which to build for extended self sufficiency planning while keeping people in their comfort zones for now.

Cyclefrance-of-old wrote:

…This year's El Nino is producing noticeably higher ocean surface temperatures, stoked by overall human-driven global warming and the resultant change in climate. Predictions are that 2027 will see even greater and stronger incidents of flooding, droughts and wildfires, so… 

So, if Putin creates a nuclear winter to counteract global warming, it would be a kindness! You wouldn’t have to spend your money on stocking up and could put it towards entertainment. 
 

Would be a good time for islanders to take up ice fishing.